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Comment Allbirds should be investigated (Score 3, Insightful) 26

by the SEC to make sure that this wasn't a pump and dump scheme perpetrated by management.

You know the AI crash is near when companies pivot into AI when things aren't going so well in their established line of business.

AI is overbought, and there is going to be a lot of companies "Buying the Farm" when it does crash. Just like the Dot-com bubble, but likely worse.

Comment Re:That is not how the math works! (Score 0) 166

"And in 50 years there still is 0.36 chance that there will NOT be a nuclear war ( 0.98 ** 50)."

The probability increases year after year. It starts out at 2% and adds cumulatively. At the end of 50 years there's an accumulated 36% chance we'll blow ourselves up. Of course, random chance may operate in our favor and the coin may come up heads for the entire 50 year period ;) If this isn't Russian Roulette I don't know what is.

Comment Re:Probably not (Score 1) 236

Some states tax EV's others don't. Also the insurance number you mentioned really depends on the weight of the electric car. I have a rather light car, and it is only about $200.00 extra per year compared to my other hybrid car.

California is doing a trial on per-mile taxes which might replace the gas tax. So by the mid-2030's we could be taxed per mile instead of at the pump.

Comment Re: Electricity is already throught the roof (Score 1) 236

You need to have solar to offset the cost. Of course, in California that's harder to do now that NEM2 has been discontinued. However non-export solar is an option. There needs to be enough sunny days to make this pencil out, so living in the desert might work, but living near the coastline probably would not unless you invest in a battery (which probably doesn't pencil out)

Comment Watch out for taxation (Score 3, Informative) 236

1. California is experimenting with a mileage tax. The per mile rate, and whether your location remains private is yet to be determined. Watch out if this requires a device on the CAN bus. Also watch out if you have to take your electric car to a smog check station just to have its mileage recorded a few months before your registration is due. Whether this applies to electric and ICE vehicles at the same rate remains to be seen.

2. At the federal level there is talk about taxing electric vehicles and additional $250 per year, but given that the Republicans have a lot to lose at the midterms, it is doubtful that it would be included in the up and coming reconciliation bill restoring funding to the DHS. If the republicans win at the midterms and keep control of the House and the Senate, watch out.

Comment So it is a metrics game (Score 1) 34

Look folks, in order to win this metric game you need to be doing something where you are answerable to as few superiors as possible. It didn't used to be this way where minutia was tracked and analyzed. Now all of the leadership running businesses want to balance everything on the point of a pin.

Don't they understand how unstable a system managed like that is?

One slight perturbation in the metrics, can cause great instability in such a system. Think of it as the "butterfly effect" in chaos theory. One slight perturbation, and you suddenly have an category 5 hurricane on your hands.

So getting back to being answerable to as few people as possible. This is going to become more and more of a requirement in the future. The more people you have to answer to, the more constrained your life is going to be.

When you have metric systems in place like the one that is/was at Duolingo, your life is going to end up revolving around keeping yourself high enough on the metric board to ensure that you won't end up in the unemployment line.

If you have debts to pay such as mortgages, car payments, and student loans you're answerable to these loan servicers as well. Student loans are usually not dischargeable in bankruptcy, and you still need to pay for rent, groceries and medical care to remain the bottom level of Maslow's hierarchy of needs triangle.

So if you can't stay on the employee leaderboard in the CEO's office, then you'll end up on the streets, and everyone you are answerable to for the basic needs will be saying: "Pay up sucker".

Doesn't seem to me to be a great way to exist.

Comment Beein using Duolingo for a few years now (Score 1) 34

I completed their Spanish Course, and am working on German which I studied in high school and college.

One thing which I've noticed in the last few months is the number of hangs on Android when completing a lesson. I have to abort the lesson and start over. Whatever they have done seems to have affected stability in a bad way.

Also there seem to be a lot of cheaters who get an astronomical number of points and place at number 1 in the periodic tournaments. I don't know what's going on here, but you would think that the playing field is not level and some people know some tricks to get huge amounts of XP, whereas the rest of us just practicing using normal methods would never get there. Makes me wonder if these people are paying Duolingo for some form of cheat code. In my opinion, this is not a great way to encourage people to learn when they know that their opponent is using some kind of cheat to get large amounts of XP.

Submission + - The chances of you living 50 more years are very small (livescience.com)

hwstar writes: Nobel prize-winning physicist David Gross suggests humanity likely won't live to see all fundamental forces unified due to the immense time required to test such theories and the potential for technological progress to end before then. While physicists seek a "Theory of Everything" to unite gravity with the other three forces, the immense, untested energy scales required make this quest a multi-generational project that humanity may not survive long enough to complete.

Comment Re:Misdirected skillset, contempt of cop^H^H^H (Score 1) 47

So maybe the conviction and sentencing, and punishment meted out should consist of 2 parts. One for the perpetrator, and the other for the corporation who let their guard down. The problem is, you can never be sure all of the vulnerabilities are mitigated on your attack surface. Also how do you convict a corporation without designating some corporate officer with is the equivalent of a whipping boy, and who gets to go to jail on behalf of the corporation.

Comment Misdirected skillset, contempt of cop^H^H^H (Score 1) 47

corporation.

1. Why do we not have a way to catch these bad actors early and redirect their talent to something more beneficial? Of course the human nature part of the pursuit of riches gets in the way here.

2. Let me start by saying that this guy deserves to go to prison for what he did. However, a lot of laws are bought and paid for by corporations bent on severely punishing people for things which put a dent in profitability. I would argue it is similar to "contempt of cop" but for the benefit of "virtual persons" i.e. Corporations. These hackers are attracted to the "thrill" of harming these organizations and getting away with it. If the glamor of hacking into corporations could be somehow reduced and the pushed to the sidelines by voluntarily keeping it out of the press by media organizations, maybe these hackers would choose other more beneficial endeavors. We have been (and probably will continue to be) a 2 class society which consists of citizens with wetware, and corporations which are a collective hive consisting of wetware and software. These 2 classes are not treated in an equitable manner due to things like information asymmetry, and financial clout. These 2 classes have different needs and wants, and the current system is not addressing these different needs and wants between the 2 classes.

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