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Comment The illusion of the wonder weapon (Score 1) 15

Your attacks fail on the very battlefield that you used to define, you fall back to defensive positions but they don't hold, your rear is devastated by corruption, so what do you do?

Yep, you develop wunderwaffes and try to convince yourself they justify the lost resources.

Then they don't, and you lose anyway.

Seen many times in history.

Comment Re:Predictable (Score 1) 116

We're already seeing a lot of things that hint at the traditional, "law-and-order" decorum society experiencing serious shakes, which many interpret as disintegration. On the other hand, stability is always an illusion and things are always in flux. I guess will see how things develop during their next parliamentary elections. If the putinization trend continues as the current administration appears to be planning, I'd be tempted to call the disintegration unstoppable. That, of course, will mean we're 3/4 or more into the 1984 world, with Sinorussia going fully totalitarian and the "global south" aligning with it and yes, a good chance of a global war and the end of the civilization around 2035, as was predicted.

We'll probably see the beginning of it :)

Comment Re:Predictable (Score 4, Interesting) 116

And that didn't start in 2025 or 2017.

But of course. The US being "the most powerful country in the world" was a historical accident, just like China dropping from its usual place of the economic powerhouse of the world for a few hundred years.

What you're seeing as a yuge crisis is just things going back to normal. Xi trying for a dictatorship may still slow things down for a while, but in the long run it is inevitable.

The USA will have to swallow the fact that there is no "American exceptionalism" and find its new place in the world. So far it appears the US has chosen its own version of putinism as the vision for the future, which isn't promising, but then there are no success guarantees in life, even that of a country.

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